Dairy industry scenarios: Informing dairy farm systems for the future
The purpose of the Dairy Farm Systems for the Future project is to explore how best to identify and design farming systems best suited to the changing environment and farmer circumstances. The first step in the project was to describe that changing business environment to develop a better understanding by farmers, industry and researchers of possible, plausible future scenarios for dairying in New Zealand. These scenarios are now providing reliable and comprehensive information, a context, for the design and rigorous evaluation of a range of farming systems best suited to each possible, plausible future. The scenarios were developed through a series of workshops and research phases throughout 2014/15. The process involved 68 industry stakeholders (25 organisations plus farmers/farm consultants) and resulted in the development of four scenarios. The scenario development process, outlined in this report, looked beyond the current views (the base scenario) to come up with three very different futures that the dairy industry could be facing in 10 years' time. The futures reflect the interpretation of 16 specific local and global uncertainties/risks. In-depth research into the level of variation in, and the implications of, each uncertainty informed the scenario building process.... [Show full abstract]
Fields of Research0701 Agriculture, Land and Farm Management; 070107 Farming Systems Research; 070103 Agricultural Production Systems Simulation
TypeReport (Commissioned Report)
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Pangborn, Marvin C.; Trafford, Guy M.; Woodford, Keith B. (South Island Dairy Event (SIDE)., 2011-06)The New Zealand (NZ) dairy industry is reliant on seasonal pasture production and a concentrated calving interval to best match pasture supply and animal demand. To achieve this goal, some farmers induce lactation in late ...
Woodford, Keith B.; Lucock, Xiaomeng (NZ Institute of Primary Industry Management (NZIPIM) IncLower Hutt, NZ, 2013-09)Increasing demand from China for internationally sourced milk powder has, in recent years, been underpinning prices for New Zealand dairy products. China is now by far the most important destination for these products. ...
Lattimore Ralph, G.; Amor Richard (Lincoln University. Commerce Division., 1998-03)The New Zealand dairy industry has been well placed to take advantage of the relaxing international market barriers that have long plagued the dairy trade. At the same time it is very important to keep the size of New ...