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    Forecasting climate change at Lincoln College, Canterbury, New Zealand

    Larsen, S. H.
    Abstract
    Sunshine, rainfall, temperature and wind direction data from Lincoln College were analysed for trends and cycles that could be used for long term seasonal forecasting. The same data was used to characterise the "signature" left in the climatic record by an El Nino/Southern Oscillation event. Significant changes, some apparently cyclic, in these climatic variables were found to have occurred over the last 140 years. There have been particularly marked and regular changes in the frequency of winds from different directions. The significance of this climatically and for forecasting is discussed. Forecasts for rainfall, temperature, sunshine and wind direction are given and discussed both for their regional and national significance. A theory of the mechanism for the observed climatic change in the Lincoln region is proposed, along with suggestions for further work.... [Show full abstract]
    Keywords
    weather forecasting; climate change; atmospheric circulation; sub-tropical high pressure belt; wind direction
    Fields of Research
    050101 Ecological Impacts of Climate Change; 040107 Meteorology; 040104 Climate Change Processes
    Date
    1989
    Type
    Thesis
    Access Rights
    Digital thesis can be viewed by current staff and students of Lincoln University only. If you are the author of this item, please contact us if you wish to discuss making the full text publicly available.
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