Shadbolt, N.Hunter, S.Apparao, D.Bicknell, Kathryn B.Dooley, L.Trafford, Guy M.2018-06-072015-10Shadbolt, N.M., Hunter, S., Apparao, D.J., Bicknell, K., Dooley, L., & Trafford, G. (2015). Dairy industry scenarios: informing dairy farm systems for the future. Lincoln, New Zealand: Centre of Excellence in Farm Business Management. Retrieved from http://www.onefarm.ac.nz/system/files/resource_downloads/OneFarm%20Scenarios%20Report%20_FINAL_0.pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/10182/9538The purpose of the Dairy Farm Systems for the Future project is to explore how best to identify and design farming systems best suited to the changing environment and farmer circumstances. The first step in the project was to describe that changing business environment to develop a better understanding by farmers, industry and researchers of possible, plausible future scenarios for dairying in New Zealand. These scenarios are now providing reliable and comprehensive information, a context, for the design and rigorous evaluation of a range of farming systems best suited to each possible, plausible future. The scenarios were developed through a series of workshops and research phases throughout 2014/15. The process involved 68 industry stakeholders (25 organisations plus farmers/farm consultants) and resulted in the development of four scenarios. The scenario development process, outlined in this report, looked beyond the current views (the base scenario) to come up with three very different futures that the dairy industry could be facing in 10 years' time. The futures reflect the interpretation of 16 specific local and global uncertainties/risks. In-depth research into the level of variation in, and the implications of, each uncertainty informed the scenario building process.72enCopyright Copyright in this publication (including text, graphics, logos and icons) is owned by or licensed to DairyNZ Incorporated. No person may in any form or by any means use, adapt, reproduce, store, distribute, print, display, perform, publish or create derivative works from any part of this publication or commercialise any information, products or services obtained from any part of this publication without the written consent of DairyNZ Incorporated.dairy industry scenariodairy farmsNew Zealand dairy industryfarm system designReportANZSRC::0701 Agriculture, Land and Farm ManagementANZSRC::070107 Farming Systems ResearchANZSRC::070103 Agricultural Production Systems Simulation